I hate to say it, but I think we Canadians are becoming whiny bitches when it comes to the non-traditional market teams in the U.S. Everywhere you turn, there's some piece on how 'non-tradtional' markets just aren't working, and the NHL should return to its roots.
Nobody complains about the Dallas Stars, Carolina or any of the three California teams. *ALL* of those are non-traditional markets. It's not really about 'tradition' at all. After all, even teams in 'traditional' markets have struggled or currently are. Edmonton, Buffalo, Ottawa and the New York Islanders come to mind here.
This chatter has only been heightened with the woes of the Coyotes franchise, of which there are several factors involved, including the location of the arena in relation to population distribution, the actual product on the ice, and the financial mismanagement from ownership to this point.
Look, the owners aren't stupid (not many stupid people can earn the multi-millions it takes to purchase and maintain any professional sports franchise). They know they'll make a boatload of money in Hamilton, but why not get the expansion fee as well? That's all they're waiting for. That's the cherry on top. It's not that they don't want more teams in Canada, they just want to maximize their profit from it.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Enough With The 'Non-Traditional' Tag
Tuesday, June 9, 2009
Gary Bettman's Folly
It's lost $300 million since leaving Winnipeg, having never turned a profit, but NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman is dead set on keeping the Phoenix Coyotes in Glendale. A hearing scheduled for Tuesday in the bankruptcy case may determine the future of the franchise (barring the appeals that will likely come from all sides involved).
The irony in all of this is that the team was relocated from Winnipeg in order to stem the losses being incurred by the ownership at the time. As the NHL expanded heavily into the U.S., it took a toll on the smaller Canadian teams. The NHL conducts business in U.S. currency, and at the time the Canadian dollar was worth $0.73 U.S.
The question that has never been fully answered is why Bettman is so insistent. Some point to southern expansion as Bettman's legacy to the NHL. Now, to be fair, NHL expansion wasn't started by Bettman. Prior to his arrival the NHL added San Jose, Tampa Bay and Ottawa and had already announced teams in Florida and Anaheim. And the owners did bring Bettman in for the sole purpose of selling the game in the U.S. and to complete the expansion. He did so by adding Nashville, Atlanta, Minnesota and Columbus, while the original Minnesota team relocated to Dallas, Hartford to North Carolina, Quebec to Colorado and of course Winnipeg.
But why fight so hard for Phoenix now? The only group that seems to argue that the Coyotes can be turned around is the city of Glendale, who stand to lose hundreds of millions if the team leaves. Is it really so dire for the NHL to have another team in the southwest? Sure, alignment gets a bit more tricky, but that's not a show-stopper. If anything, the Coyotes have been hit hard by the 2005 lockout and the subsequent increases of the salary cap floor...a common lament among most of the smaller-market teams that are struggling to spend up to the floor (currently about $40 million).
Bettman is easy to hate, especially for Canadians who feel he has an anti-Canada position, as he put in far less effort to save Winnipeg and Quebec than he has with Pittsburgh, Nashville and Phoenix. He's also been through two lockouts, the second resulting in the salary cap finally being instituted. I don't think the NHL owners look at him in the same way. Under his watch, league revenue has gone from $400 million to $2.2 billion as well as given most of the owners cost certainty.
Friday, June 5, 2009
Killing Me Softly With Your Non-Calls
I'll be the first to admit that I like it better when the referees put their whistles away late in a playoff game. I'd rather that the players decide the outcome, especially if it's a close, hard-fought game. But this season, it's almost gone overboard. Too many penalties are either ignored, or the refs just aren't watching.
In fact, this is the least penalized final matchup in 64 years. And it's not like Detroit and Pittsburgh are penalty-free teams. In the regular season, Pittsburgh was 20th in PIM, Detroit 11th. In the playoffs, Detroit is 12th and Pittsburgh 14th. Even taking away the paltry minutes so far (in four games, the teams have combined for 62 penalty minutes...the bulk coming in the last 20 seconds of game two), both teams would be in the bottom half.
But there have been a lot of plays gone uncalled. Pittsburgh playing nearly 20 seconds with too many men on the ice in game three. Pucks cleared out of the defensive end and over the glass with no penalty called. Marian Hossa breaking Pascal Dupuis stick with a slash that was never called. I'm sure plenty of fans on both sides have more examples.
I get that the NHL loves for the action to continue and is always worried about people thinking the refs had a hand in deciding the game. But the rules are there for a reason. They do have to be enforced when broken. I don't care if it's a game in November between Florida and Columbus or game seven of the Stanley Cup final. And I'm talking the outrageous non-call stuff. I'm glad they put the whistle away for the crappy little stick check penalties. When you see a guy get cross-check viciously, and the refs are yelling to play on...well, that's not right. And it will ultimately hurt the game.
Wednesday, June 3, 2009
The Penguins Strike Back
In a playoff season that has delivered several great games, we were treated to another last night. Sidney Crosby finally gets on the board, helping set up the game winner, and the Penguins narrow Detroit's lead to 2-1.
The Penguins put forth their best effort of the series, despite being outshot 29-21. The most telling: the Penguins outshot the Wings 10-3 in the third period...probably one of the few third periods that Detroit has been dominated in.
Pittsburgh needed someone to step up, and Maxime Talbot finally answered the call, scoring twice. Kristopher Letang's powerplay goal late in the first period was crucial. With Detroit leading 2-1, the Penguins probably couldn't afford to go into the intermission thinking about being down again.
The Wings did look off-kilter all night, but that's how they looked in game three vs Chicago until they forced overtime, and we all know how that series ended. The thing for me is that despite looking sloppy, the Wings were never out of this game until the empty netter sealed it. I doubt they'll get worse. So if sloppy play is up to Pittsburgh's best effort so far, it's still Detroit's series to lose.
For game four, the Penguins will need a stronger defensive effort. Detroit adjusts well to the opponents arena, and they will come out hard. It's also possible that Pavel Datsyuk will be back in the lineup, considering the Wings could use a bit of a boost. If this series draws even, it's anybody's series. If Detroit goes up 3-1...again...well, I don't think that Pittsburgh will get another triple overtime win in game five.
Monday, June 1, 2009
Conn Smythe Watch
The Detroit Red Wings are two wins away from once again hoisting Lord Stanley's Cup. In the process, they've kept perfect their record when leading after two periods intact (now 11-0). With the Finals close to being over, it's time to start looking at the potential playoff MVPs for both teams.
Detroit Red Wings
Favourite: Chris Osgood has been simply phenomenal. After his poorest regular season in a Red Wings jersey, Osgood has been unflappable. And with back to back one goal games in the Finals, he's been the best Wing on the ice.
Johan Franzen leads the team in goals scored and points in the playoffs. In the past 34 playoff games, he's scored 24 times, including the winner in game one and has been a constant presence every shift.
Henrik Zetterberg has been Detroit's most complete player. In two games so far, he's averaged 23 minutes of ice time while shadowing and shutting down Sidney Crosby...a big reason the Wings are up 2-0. He's also second on the team in goals (9) and points (19).
Noted: Niklas Lidstrom, Valterri Filppula
Pittsburgh Penguins
Favourite: Even though Sidney Crosby has been shut out in the first two games of the Finals (the first time this has happened since last year's final), he has been hands down the best Penguin on the ice. What's hurting him is the sudden lack of ice time and the constant attention from Detroit's top players.
Evgeni Malkin has had a hand in the only two goals that the Penguins have scored so far, and leads the league in playoff points with 30. He's been less of a focus of the Wings defensive coverage, and he could take more advantage of that.
Marc-Andre Fleury may not have the best numbers in the playoffs, but he's a big reason the Penguins are back in the Finals. Even with a couple of bad bounces, he needs to come up big (the Abdelkader goal in game two was just bad) for his team to get back in this.
Noted: Bill Guerin, Sergei Gonchar
Sunday, May 31, 2009
Detroit Takes Game One...Again
Game one is officially in the books, and the Detroit Red Wings have a 1-0 lead thanks to a strong team effort and a couple lucky bounces. The series quickly turns to game two tomorrow night. Will the quick turnaround favour the younger Penguins or will Detroit maintain home ice advantage?
Game Notes
Evgeni Malkin had a strong first period and scattered chances throughout but he was very soft on the puck, having it knocked off his stick several times and was seldom a factor in the third.
Detroit dominated the faceoff circle (39-16) and Pittsburgh will have to improve drastically if they are going to have any chance.
The referees did a fantastic job of managing the game. They maintained control without killing the flow of the game with endless penalties.
The best line of the night was Detroit’s fourth line, specifically Ville Leino and Justin Abdelkader, despite the low minutes played.
Even though he was shaky in the first period, Chris Osgood shook it off and turned in another solid performance, lowering his playoff GAA to 2.00 with a .928 save percentage.
Marian Hossa and Darren Helm used their speed to give the Penguins plenty of trouble. The Penguins attack is definitely missing Hossa.
Both teams combined for only three shots on three power plays. Whichever team that can correct their power play first will win this series.
Even though Pittsburgh outshot Detroit 32-30, Detroit put more shots at goal by a 62-53 margin.
The Wings are now 10-0 in the playoffs when leading after two periods.
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Here We Go Again
At the end of the Stanley Cup finals last year, Pittsburgh fans were quick to say that they'd be back and their team would win it all. I was quick to say that the Penguins would have a hard road back, and that it was unlikely that they'd do it.
Well, the Penguins and the Detroit Red Wings are both back, ready to pick up where they left off last June. Pittsburgh went through the Philadelphia Flyers, Washington Capitals and Carolina Hurricanes to reach the Finals again. Detroit defeated the Columbus Blue Jackets, Anaheim Ducks and Chicago Blackhawks.
This year, the Penguins have the one thing everyone felt they lacked last year: experience. They've been here before. Been so close, and had to live through the sting of watching the Wings hoist the Cup in Mellon Arena. That feeling will be an undercurrent through this sequel.
Since being pushed to a seventh game against the Capitals, Pittsburgh has been on a tear. In the five games they've played since (including game seven), they've outscored their opponent 26-11. The closest was game one against the Hurricanes, when they were still a bit spent from an epic series, but still managed to win 3-2.
Detroit, similarly, received a boost from defeating a highly skilled Ducks team that very nearly won. In the Conference finals, despite injuries to Pavel Datsyuk and Nicklas Lidstrom, the Wings cruised to the Finals against a Chicago team that will be a force of the future.
Now the two teams clash again. With the shorter layoff, Pittsburgh might have the upper hand if Detroit's injury problems are serious. Still, you cannot discount the amazing depth of the Wings. And Marian Hossa now gets to experience this matchup from the other side. Both teams had some serious competition, but both made the Finals fairly easily.
So who wins? Which team has all the right pieces, and has enough left in them? Detroit has home ice advantage, and is 8-1 at Joe Louis, but only 4-3 on the road. Pittsburgh is 6-2 at home, and 6-3 on the road. Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin are running away with playoff scoring, but both teams have six players in double digits. Chris Osgood has better numbers in goal, but Marc-Andre Fleury has played just as well over the past five games. Detroit's power play is converting at 25.7% to Pittsburgh's 19.3%, but Pittsburgh's penalty kill is better at 83.6% to 73.7%.
Regardless of my prediction, fans are going to be treated to another great round of hockey. This year has been phenomenal in that regard. But inevitably, there has to be one champion. I've held this belief since before the season started, so I'm going to see it through.
Prediction: Detroit in seven
Friday, May 22, 2009
Knee To Knee Hits On The Rise
The NHL playoffs have delivered some of the most exciting action in recent years. Great goals, amazing passing, and some pretty incredible goaltending.
One negative that has seen an increase this year are the number of knee to knee hits occuring on the ice. The most obvious example would be Alexander Ovechkin's hit on Sergei Gonchar in the second round matchup between the Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins. Ovechkin was given a two minute minor for kneeing, while Gonchar was helped off the ice and missed two games, but is probably now playing through the injury.
So far in the Eastern final between Pittsburgh and the Carolina Hurricanes, there have been at least three instances of knee to knee contact. Matt Cooke hit Erik Cole in game one after Cole had taken a shot. No penalty again, but Cooke clearly went out of his way to make sure he caught part of Cole. In game two, Denis Seidenberg and Craig Adams had a collision at center ice. Again, no penalty. Adams appeared to try and avoid the body check and Seidenberg was determined to get a piece of Adams. And later in that game, Walker took a questionable run at Evgeni Malkin, hitting him low.
Since the lockout, the NHL has cracked down hard on stick infractions, especially through the neutral zone in an effort to speed up the game by reducing the amount of interference occuring during games. Because of this effort, players are more often trying their hardest to try and hit players coming with speed. The unfortunate result (in most cases, it's not the intention to injure) is that more knee to knee hits have occured.
Unfortunately, the NHL's response to these types of hits has been mixed, to the point that many feel that there is preferential treatment depending on who hit whom. The league needs to be consistent and concrete in handing out punishment for these types of hits, even if it's the playoffs, and one of the premeire players gets suspended. Otherwise, it's a matter of time before someone's career is ended by one of these hits.
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Coyotes Mess: Nobody's Talking
Could the NHL and RIM CEO Jim Balsillie resolve their differences, and come to an amicable solution? It seems highly doubtful considering Balsillie's underhandedness in trying to gain a franchise with the singular goal of relocating it to Southern Ontario, but there has to be some compromising ground.
The problem is that neither side has ever negotiated in good faith with the other. Balsillie's bent on moving a franchise, while the NHL is steadfast in keeping all existing teams where they currently are. It's been to his own detriment for Balsillie not to at least be open to the NHL Board of Governors stipulation of trying to make a team work in its existing location as a condition of ownership transfer.
The fact that Balsillie has gone out of his way to slap the NHL in the face by currying the favor of the Canadian fan base also hurts himself and the league. It's a direct shot at the Board of Governors, basically stating that he feels he doesn't need to follow their rules...that corporate law supercedes any actions the NHL can take internally. This action alone has grave consequences for all of pro sports, and it's the main reason the NBA, NFL and MLB have all written statements imploring Judge Baum to strongly consider the NHL's right to determine both team ownership and relocation issues.
In following live reports from the hearing today, the judge has stated previous cases do support the NHL's stand on relocation, but it won't be determined today who is rightfully in control of the team. The judge has stated that Balsillie's groups should have worked with the NHL instead of jumping the gun, and has wondered about current owner Jerry Moyes also working out a better deal with the league.
One thing is for certain. None of the parties involved seem to want to talk to each other, and that has caused a lot of the dysfunction in this case. Given the history, it's understandable that Balsillie would have doubts to the NHL negotiating with him in good faith. What's surprising is that the NHL seems more interested in taking over the franchise altogether, rather than sitting down with Moyes to discuss the future, possibly including the supposed deal from White Sox owner Jerry Reinsdorf.
Friday, May 15, 2009
Conference Final Predictions
What an ending to the second round. Three game sevens, one amazing overtime, and Chicago getting some needed rest while Anaheim and Detroit finish a war.
So now the Conference Finals are set, and both matchups look like they will continue the stretch of intense action. On the line: a trip to the Stanley Cup Finals.
Will the upstart Chicago Blackhawks make it all the way and win their first Cup since 1961? Will Carolina make it back to the Finals for the first time since winning in 2006 (the last two times they qualified for the playoffs, they’ve made it to the Finals)? Are we destined for a Detroit-Pittsburgh rematch?
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Carolina Hurricanes
The Penguins are coming off a highly charged series against the Washington Capitals. Sidney Crosby proved why he’s arguably the best player on the planet right now. Carolina had staked itself to a 3-1 series lead against the Boston Bruins, only to be forced to overtime in game seven when unlikely hero Scott Walker put the series away. Now Eric and Jordan Staal get to face each other.
The Penguins will need a lot more secondary scoring, especially from Kunitz, Satan and Staal. Crosby and Malkin can only do so much of the heavy lifting. Carolina needs bigger contributions from Brind’Amour and Cole. Sergei Samsonov showed up against his former team, but he needs to not disappear again.
Prediciton: Penguins in six.
Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks
The last time the Hawks were in the conference finals was 1994-95 where they lost to Detroit. This is the third straight trip for the Red Wings. Chicago comes in on a tear, winning the last three against the Vancouver Canucks to close them out in six games, while Detroit needed a weak goal given up by Jonas Hiller late in game seven to finish off the Anaheim Ducks.
Chicago needs to establish leads early in games, and not have to comeback against Detroit, as the Wings are one of the best at maintaining a lead. Nikolai Khabibulin is going to have to be stellar for the Hawks to have a chance. Detroit needs to stay out of penalty trouble as the Hawks have the best powerplay in the playoffs and the Wing’s biggest weakness has been on the penalty kill.
Prediction: Red Wings in six.
Thursday, May 14, 2009
Can Anything Top Penguins-Capitals?
It was the series everyone wanted...and it turned out to be more than everyone expected.
The seven game epic clash between Sidney Crosby's Pittsburgh Penguins and Alexander Ovechkin's Washington Capitals did not disappoint. Five one goal games. Three overtime games. Crosby and Ovechkin each scored eight goals.
In the end, the Capitals just ran out. Ovechkin averaged 23 minutes a game in the series (21 minutes for the 14 games Washington played in the playoffs). Simeon Varlamov, who was incredible during this run, didn't have anything left. The Penguins moved on because of their experience, talent, and the sheer will of Crosby.
But now the question becomes 'What can top this?' Is there a matchup for the Finals that can reach this high? The answer: A Detroit-Pittsburgh rematch.
Sure, the Chicago Blackhawks are an exciting young team, but it's that inexperience factor that makes them a longshot. An original six final between Detroit and Boston would be cool, but I don't think it would capture the viewers. Anaheim and Pittsburgh might be interesting, but again that might not be a ratings draw (the 2007 Final between Anaheim and Ottawa had dismal U.S. ratings).
But Detroit and Pittsburgh have history. The Penguins would want revenge on losing last year. Detroit would be out to prove that beyond a doubt, they're one of the best teams ever. Marc-Andre Fleury would love to have another go, considering the Cup winning goal last year.
Game six last year had a 4.4 share in the ratings, so you can be sure NBC and the NHL would both love this matchup as well.
Monday, May 11, 2009
The NHL's Broad Appeal
Gary Bettman has been on a mission to make hockey work throughout the United States. Allowing a team to relocate to Phoenix, and adding expansion franchises in Nashville, Florida and Atlanta (who originally had the Flames) was part of his mission to bring hockey to the masses. Unfortunately, at times it's been an exercise in futility.
Now, that's not to say that these areas have passionate fans. Far from it. But when three of these clubs are in the bottom five in terms of attendance, and the Coyotes are on the brink of economic collapse, it's time to reassess the plan.
For starters, there's no viable national network putting forth the product. I know Versus is 'national', but when most cable companies require you to have their top tier of programming to get it, you have cut off a huge portion of the population. In fact, it's been touted that Versus ratings are up 10% for the playoffs, but in terms of television ratings, they're only getting a 0.4 share (which works out to about 465000 viewers). NBC (whenever they decide a game is worthy enough to play...there were no playoff games this weekend) manages to averag about a 1.5 share (1.6 million viewers).
To be fair, there have been some successes. The Dallas Stars have been a successful transplant, as well as the Carolina Hurricanes. The three California teams have all been big, as well. But when the league is lending millions of dollars to prop up a failing franchise, and there's now word that a group from Vancouver wants to purchase and relocate the Atlanta Thrashers, the experiment is over.
Monday, May 4, 2009
Home Ice Advantage?
In sports, especially during the playoffs, everyone invariably talks about the mythical 'home advantage'. The boost from the home fans and familiar settings all lead to some advantage in a best of seven series against another team. Most teams make it their goal in the regular season to earn this advantage for as long as they can. After all, it's better to have four games at home than three. But how much does this 'advantage' really come into play?
If you take the teams as a whole, right now the home teams have a 27-24 (.529) record. In the second round alone so far, the home teams are 4-3. To get a historical perspective on what the numbers mean, the records of the home teams since the 2000-2001 season were calculated.
2000-01: 43-45 (.489)
2001-02: 47-43 (.522)
2002-03: 49-40 (.551)
2003-04: 52-37 (.584)
2005-06: 44-39 (.530)
2006-07: 45-36 (.556)
2007-08: 50-35 (.588)
From a statistical standpoint, there is definitely an advantage to the home team (although usually slight). The trend indicates that the home teams have gained in their advantage over the past nine years, although without further analysis 2000-01 could be an anomylous year where the road teams actually had the upper hand (which makes some sense...finalist New Jersey was 8-4 on the road that year in the playoffs, and champion Colorado was 7-3).
The most interesting deviation occurs when only game sevens are observed. In the same period as above, the home team is 20-9 (.690) in game seven. In other words, having home ice advantage is nice during a series, but it's one of the most important factors when a series goes the distance.
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